EVIDENCE FOR HABITAT LIMITATION OF CENTRARCHID FISHES OVER A BROAD SPATIAL SCALE IN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM Steve Gutreuter US Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, 2630 Fanta Reed Road, La Crosse, WI 54603 Habitat rehabilitation efforts are typically costly, and will be ineffective if habitat is not limiting. Therefore, it is important to assess habitat limitation wherever habitat rehabilitation projects are considered. Catch-count data from the Long Term Resource Monitoring Program were used to identify evidence for backwater habitat limitation by centrarchid fishes in the Upper Mississippi River System. The data were collected using a probability-based stratified-random sampling design. The design enabled fitting statistical models of the association between mean catch at the spatial scale of tens of river kilometers and the percentage of contiguous aquatic area in backwater of various minimum depths by maximizing a stratum-area weighted negative binomial log likelihood function. The results were consistent with the hypothesis that backwaters limit the abundance of centrarchids in this large river system, but only when backwaters composed very small percentages of the total contiguous aquatic area. This suggests that habitat restoration projects designed to increase the area of backwaters suitable for winter survival of centrarchids in the Upper Mississippi River System will be likely to produce measurable benefits only in the lower reaches of that system where backwaters are presently uncommon. Predictions from these statistical models can be validated in situ if backwater areas are changed by habitat restoration and sedimentation, and if the resulting changes in bathymetry can be updated at appropriate time intervals. Keywords: centrarchid fishes, backwaters, habitat, limitation, model 16 3